Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000060 0.000066 0.000072 0.000079 0.000087 0.000095 0.000105
2025-11-16 0.000049 0.000057 0.000066 0.000076 0.000089 0.000104 0.000123
2025-11-23 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000078 0.000094 0.000115 0.000143
2025-11-30 0.000040 0.000050 0.000061 0.000077 0.000097 0.000123 0.000159
2025-12-07 0.000036 0.000045 0.000057 0.000073 0.000095 0.000124 0.000166
2025-12-14 0.000032 0.000041 0.000053 0.000070 0.000093 0.000125 0.000172
2025-12-21 0.000029 0.000038 0.000050 0.000067 0.000092 0.000126 0.000179
2025-12-28 0.000026 0.000035 0.000047 0.000064 0.000089 0.000126 0.000183
2026-01-04 0.000024 0.000033 0.000044 0.000062 0.000087 0.000125 0.000187
2026-01-11 0.000023 0.000031 0.000043 0.000061 0.000088 0.000129 0.000198
2026-01-18 0.000022 0.000031 0.000043 0.000062 0.000092 0.000138 0.000218
2026-01-25 0.000025 0.000035 0.000050 0.000074 0.000113 0.000176 0.000290
2026-02-01 0.000023 0.000034 0.000049 0.000075 0.000117 0.000187 0.000319
2026-02-08 0.000022 0.000032 0.000047 0.000073 0.000116 0.000191 0.000336
2026-02-15 0.000021 0.000031 0.000047 0.000074 0.000121 0.000204 0.000372
2026-02-22 0.000020 0.000030 0.000045 0.000073 0.000122 0.000212 0.000399
2026-03-01 0.000018 0.000027 0.000043 0.000070 0.000119 0.000209 0.000405
2026-03-08 0.000017 0.000026 0.000040 0.000066 0.000115 0.000207 0.000410
2026-03-15 0.000015 0.000024 0.000038 0.000064 0.000113 0.000207 0.000420
2026-03-22 0.000014 0.000022 0.000036 0.000061 0.000109 0.000204 0.000423
2026-03-29 0.000013 0.000021 0.000034 0.000059 0.000106 0.000202 0.000428
2026-04-05 0.000013 0.000020 0.000033 0.000058 0.000107 0.000207 0.000451
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.000020 0.000034 0.000059 0.000112 0.000221 0.000499